Originally posted: November 7, 2017
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Let’s take a look at notable salary changes as we head into Week 10 of the NFL season.
Jared Goff (LAR): $8,200 vs. HOU (+$600)
Goff is coming off of a monster outing against the Giants in Week 9, as the young quarterback scored 28.4 FDP. This resulted in a spike of $600 heading into a Week 10 tilt against the Texans, who have been bad against the pass over the last three weeks.
Houston has allowed an average of 300 passing yards and 2.3 touchdowns over their last three games, which includes a 140-yard outing against the hapless Browns. Owners may chase points despite a rise in salary, and I wouldn’t be opposed to having a little exposure as well, just don’t go overboard in Week 10.
Andy Dalton (CIN): $7,100 @ TEN (-$200)
Sheesh. Dalton struggled mightily in a tough matchup against the Jaguars, which resulted in his price getting close to breaking below $7,000. Dalton completed 10 of 18 passes for just 136 yards in Week 9, which may have been punctuated by losing his top target, A.J. Green to an ejection. If Green manages to avoid a suspension, Dalton could be worth a speculative look against a suspect Tennessee defense in Week 10.
The Titans have allowed 236 passing yards and one touchdown per game over their last three, but context is important, as they faced the Colts, Browns, and Ravens during that span. While Dalton won’t set the world on fire, I don’t mind buying low here in tournaments if A.J. Green plays.
Damien Williams (MIA): $5,300 @ CAR (+$800)/Kenyan Drake (MIA): $5,200 @ CAR (+$700)
I included both Miami backs here, as this literally couldn’t have been more of a frustrating outcome in terms of trying to predict usage moving forward. Not only are they still priced almost identically, but Drake (55.2%) didn’t drastically out-snap Williams (44.8%) nor did the touches differ much either (Drake’s 15 to Williams’ 13).
The good thing is that an ugly matchup awaits for Monday Night Football, as the Dolphins will travel to Charlotte to face the Panthers. I could see possibly splitting exposure in tournaments in the hopes that the Dolphins attempt to utilize the short passing game instead of an actual rushing attack, but it’s a risky proposition at best.
Mark Ingram (NO): $6,900 @ BUF (-$1,000)
After a steep drop in salary despite not fumbling nor drastically under-performing, this seems like a prime opportunity to buy in Week 10. Not only did Ingram manage to secure the ball in Week 9, but he still led the way with 16 rushes for 77 yards, while also hauling in his lone target. Alvin Kamara was certainly the hero for New Orleans, but this creates a perfect scenario in Week 10, as owners will surely chase Kamara’s Week 9 outing.
It’s not an indictment of Kamara, but rather a good time to buy an asset in Ingram, who shouldn’t be priced this way. The Saints will travel to Buffalo in Week 10, who just allowed 140 rushing yards and a score in Week 9, so I’m not completely scared of the matchup either.
T.Y. Hilton (IND): $7,500 vs. PIT (+$900)
The squeaky wheel narrative came through for Hilton in Week 9, as he scored 32 FDP in a win over the Texans. This was a good situation as the Texans have struggled against the pass, while Hilton also got the benefit of playing indoors, similar to his home field back in Indianapolis.
The Colts will now return home to face the Steelers, who are fresh off of their bye week and could present a challenge for Hilton and the Indianapolis offense. The Steelers did allow 423 passing yards to Detroit in Week 8, but I don’t like this situation for Hilton, especially after a steep increase in salary.
DeAndre Hopkins (HOU): $7,600 @ LAR (-$1,500)
Anytime you see a borderline WR1’s price drop by this much, you need to take notice. Sure, Tom Savage is a clear downgrade over Deshaun Watson, but Hopkins didn’t disappear as a result of a new quarterback in Week 9. In fact, Hopkins posted a respectable line, as he hauled in six of his 16 targets for 86 yards and a scored.
The dilemma we are faced with in Week 10 centers more around the matchup, as the Rams have proved to be a difficult matchup for opposing passing attacks. Still, I don’t mind throwing Hopkins into a couple tournament lineups this week, as his price dropped enough to create some profit potential in Week 10.
Evan Engram (NYG): $7,400 @ SF (+$1,100)
Engram led the team in targets in Week 9, as the rookie hauled in four catches for 70 yards and a score. Despite officially being listed as a tight end, Engram is functioning more as a wide receiver for the hapless Giants, who obviously have been decimated by injury.
Engram has quickly emerged as Eli Manning’s favorite target, and I expect this trend to continue moving forward. It will be difficult to swallow a big jump in price, but I can still see some merit in utilizing the talented Engram in tournaments.
Cameron Brate (TB): $5,700 vs. NYJ (-$400)
The Buccaneers continue to be deplorable in nearly all facets of the game, but the most concerning aspect is how bad their talented offense has been. A lot of this is likely due in part to Jameis Winston attempting to play through a shoulder injury (reinjured again in Week 9), so it’s tough to pinpoint what to expect moving forward.
While there’s a real chance the Buccaneers pack it in and put Winston on injured reserve soon, I still think a piece like Brate is worth targeting in tournaments, especially at a slight discount. The Jets have allowed four receiving touchdowns to tight ends over their last four games, so there’s some upside to be had here in Week 10.
Source: Fantasy Pros
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